ECB Working Paper Finds Household Heterogeneity Drives Sectoral Fiscal Spillovers in Open Economies
This ECB working paper (No 3279) uses a two-sector open-economy HANK model to show that government spending concentrated in services also lifts goods-sector output, mainly because constrained households spend additional income. It is academic research, not binding regulation, and carries an explicit disclaimer that it does not represent ECB views. Compliance teams should treat it as background context for macro scenario design and not as a source of new obligations.


